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To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
Please click here for an enlarged chart of E-mini S&P 500.
Note the following:
In the early trade, money flows are positive in Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META).
In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL) and Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN), Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:GOOG), NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), and TSLA.
In the early trade, money flows are positive in SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:QQQ).
The momo crowd is aggressively buying stocks in the early trade. Smart money is inactive in the early trade.
The momo crowd is buying gold in the early trade. Smart money is lightly trimming gold positions in the early trade.
For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.
The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:GLD). The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:SLV).
The momo crowd is selling oil in the early trade. Smart money is inactive in the early trade.
For longer-term, please see oil ratings.
The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (NYSE:USO).
On the news of the Israeli attack on Iran, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) briefly fell below $60,000 in spite of all of the positive pitches to buy bitcoin because of the halving. Since then, bitcoin has recovered along with tech stocks. Bitcoin is now trading over $65,000 as of this writing.
The drop in bitcoin on the Israeli attack again busts the myth propagated by bitcoin whales that bitcoin is a hedge against risks.
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.
Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges. The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive. If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash. When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks. High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of seven year duration or less. Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
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This article is from an unpaid external contributor. It does not represent Benzinga's reporting and has not been edited for content or accuracy.
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