Retail Resilience: Wayfair, Lowe's, Best Buy — JPMorgan's Top Stock Picks

Author: Surbhi Jain | April 12, 2024 11:55am

As the retail landscape evolves amidst changing consumer behaviors and economic shifts, investors seek guidance on navigating this dynamic sector.

The JPMorgan Retail Round-Up Conference 2024 shed light on key themes shaping the retail landscape this year, including:

• Stable U.S. consumer backdrop
• Resurgence in denim and activewear categories
• Renewed focus on consumer value.

Amidst these trends, Christopher Horvers, head of U.S. Broadlines and Hardlines Retail at JPMorgan, presented compelling stock picks poised for growth in the retail sector.

1. Wayfair: Offers Upside From Sales, Margins

Horvers expressed optimism about Wayfair Inc (NYSE:W), the leading online specialty retailer. He attributed its potential for growth to the improving demand for home goods.

With sales expected to rise alongside the resurgence in home-related purchases, Wayfair stood to benefit from its dominance in the online home furnishings category.

Horvers noted the company’s focus on cost optimization post-Covid-19 pandemic. “We see upside not only from sales but also from margins,” said Hoervers.

2. Lowe’s: Outdoor Patio Demand To See Acute Uplift

Horvers highlighted Lowe’s Companies Inc (NYSE:LOW) as another promising stock pick, particularly as the outdoor spring season kicks off. Anticipating increased demand for outdoor patio products, driven partly by pent-up demand from the Covid pandemic era, Horvers emphasized Lowe’s exposure to seasonal categories.

“DIY is 75% of their business. A big chunk of that is driven off these seasonal categories,” highlighted Horvers. Lowe’s is well-positioned to capitalize on the anticipated uplift in demand for outdoor home improvement products.

“We also think that the outdoor patio area will see an acute uplift this spring … Lowe’s is acutely more exposed to this trend than Home Depot Inc (NYSE:HD).”

3. Best Buy: Back-To-School Important Catalyst

Horvers identified Best Buy Co Inc (NYSE:BBY) as an attractive investment opportunity, especially considering the potential for a turnaround in demand for big-ticket items with long replacement cycles. “Companies like Walmart Inc (NYSE:WMT) and Target Corp (NYSE:TGT) and Home Depot are still seeing headwinds,” he noted.

Noting the uptick in demand for laptops and TVs, Horvers suggested back-to-school season could serve as a catalyst for Best Buy. With its dominant market position and conservative margins, Best Buy presents an appealing value proposition within the retail sector.

Also Read: Best Buy Analyst Turns Bullish After Meetings With Management

As the retail landscape develops amidst shifting consumer preferences and economic conditions, J.P. Morgan’s retail stock picks offer investors opportunities for potential growth and value.

Wayfair, Lowe’s and Best Buy are positioned to capitalize on emerging trends and market dynamics. Investors may find these stocks worthy of consideration in their portfolios.

However, as with any investment, thorough research and analysis are essential to making informed decisions in the ever-changing retail sector.

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