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After enjoying 13 out of 14 positive weeks, Wall Street kicked off Monday on a weaker note as traders revise down their expectations regarding Fed interest rate cuts.
Stronger-than-expected economic data — and comments from Federal Reserve officials indicating the central bank has no immediate plans to reduce rates — pushed major U.S. stock averages into the red.
Both Fed Chair Jerome Powell and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari issued warnings that monetary policy may remain restrictive for a while due to the remarkable economic resilience.
In January, the services sector expanded beyond expectations, as indicated by the latest ISM PMI figures, marking the strongest growth since September 2023 and extending its 13th consecutive month of expansion.
Traders have now embraced the idea that a rate cut in March is off the table. Furthermore, they are reducing their rate cut expectations for 2024, going from six rate cuts last week to just about five as of Monday.
Treasury yields surged across all maturity levels, with the 10-year yield increasing by 13 basis points to 4.15%, causing the dollar to strengthen by 0.5% against a basket of major currencies.
Small-cap stocks were hit the hardest, with the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:IWM) experiencing a 1.2% decline. Large-cap indices also saw declines, although with a more modest impact.
Bonds fell, with the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT) sliding 1.9% after a 2% decline on Friday.
Oil prices rebounded, with West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil rising by 1%, driven by escalating tensions in the Middle East, triggered by U.S. strikes over the weekend that targeted Iran-related sites in Syria and Iraq.
Major Indices & ETFs | Price | % |
---|---|---|
Nasdaq 100 | 17,619.42 | -0.1% |
S&P 500 | 4,947.28 | -0.2% |
Dow Jones | 38,389.00 | -0.7% |
Russell 2000 | 1,940.18 | -1.1% |
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) was 0.2% lower to $493.17, the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSE:DIA) fell 0.7% to $383.95 and the tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:QQQ) eased 0.1% to $428.55, according to Benzinga Pro data.
Sector-wise, the Technology SPDR Select Sector Fund (NYSE:XLK) outperformed, up 0.3%, followed by the Energy SPDR Select Sector Fund (NYSE:XLE), up 0.1%.
Notable laggards were the Real Estate SPDR Select Sector Fund (NYSE:XLRE), which plummeted 1.8%, and the Materials SPDR Select Sector Fund (NYSE:XLY), down 2.2%
On the industry front, semiconductors rallied, with the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (NYSE:SMH) up 1.9%.
Photo via Shutterstock.
Posted In: APD CAT CTLT DIA EL GDX IDXX IWM MCD META NVDA NVO ON PLTR QQQ SMH SNAP SPG SPY TLT