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Index futures are gaining momentum on Tuesday, signaling an acceleration upward as the “Santa Claus” rally takes hold. Adding to the positive sentiment is an early Christmas gift from the Bank of Japan, which has maintained its ultra-loose monetary policy. Traders will also be navigating through earnings reports and housing starts data as potential catalysts.
Bond yields remain subdued, and crude oil continues its fluctuating trajectory.
Highlights from Monday's Trading:
US Index Performance On Monday
Index | Performance (+/-) | Value |
Nasdaq Composite | +0.62% | 14,904.81 |
S&P 500 Index | +0.45% | 4,740.56 |
Dow Industrials | +0.00% | 37,306.02 |
Russell 2000 | -0.14% | 1,982.42 |
Analyst Color:
December is typically a “second-half story,” said LPL Chief Technical Strategist Adam Turnquist. Since 1950, the S&P 500 has generated an average gain of 1.5% in December and finished higher 74% of the time, he said.
“Most of the gains during the month have come during the second half, as the average gain at the halfway point is only around 0.1%,” Turnquist said. This year, the index was clearly outpacing its average December progression, he noted.
“Of the six prior years when the S&P 500 had a mid-month gain of at least 3%, the index added another 1.5% in the second half of the month to finish December with an average of 5.8%,” he said.
Chart Courtesy of LPL Financial
Futures Today
Futures Performance On Tuesday
Futures | Performance (+/-) |
Nasdaq 100 | +0.11% |
S&P 500 | +0.11% |
Dow | +0.09% |
R2K | +0.44% |
In premarket trading on Tuesday, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) rose 0.12% to $472.55 and the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) gained 0.13% to $407.62, according to Benzinga Pro data.
Upcoming Economic Data:
The Commerce Department is due to release the housing starts and building report for November at 8:30 am ET. Economists, on average, expect housing starts to come in at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.360 million units, down from 1.372 million units in October. Building permits, a leading indicator of housing starts, may have slipped from 1.498 million units to 1.470 million units.
Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin is due to speak at 9:30 a.m. ET and Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic at 12:30 pm ET.
See also: Futures Vs. Options
Stocks In Focus:
Commodities, Bonds, Other Global Equity Markets:
Crude oil futures fell 0.16% to $72.70 in early European session on Tuesday, reversing some of the 1.95% gain they notched up on Monday.
The benchmark 10-year Treasury note fell 0.043 percentage points to 3.913% on Thursday.
Most major markets in Asia advanced on Tuesday, led by the Japanese, Australian and Indonesian markets. Traders welcomed a central bank decision from the region as the Bank of Japan’s Monetary Policy Board announced its verdict to keep its ultra-loose monetary policy intact.
European stocks posted gains in late-morning trading, although trading was marked by listlessness. The EURO STOXX 50 Index, a stock index of Eurozone stocks, rose modestly.
Image created with artificial intelligence on MidJourney