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Thursday’s trading session on Wall Street presents a mixed picture, characterized by notable fluctuations in major indices. While tech-heavy benchmarks like the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 are experiencing declines, blue-chip stocks and small caps are treading the path of marginal gains.
The market mood remains somewhat subdued in the wake of the Federal Reserve’s favored measure of inflation delivering a relatively uneventful report.
The annual Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation rate in the United States has eased to 3% in October 2023, aligning with analysts’ expectations and reaching levels not observed since March 2021. This marks a decline from the previous September’s figure of 3.4%. Monthly, the PCE remained stagnant, coming in below the expected 0.1%.
WTI crude oil prices experienced a highly volatile session, dropping to as low as $75 per barrel before recovering to $76.9 at the time of this writing. While the OPEC+ cartel collectively agreed to implement an additional 1 million barrel-a-day reduction in oil output, the details of individual member cuts are yet to be disclosed. Meanwhile, Brazil is set to become a member of the OPEC+ group starting from January 2024.
Treasury yields saw an increase, and bond prices moved lower. The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT) fell 0.8%. The dollar surged 0.6%, aided by weaker-than-expected inflation in the euro area, rekindling speculations of ECB rate cuts next year.
Index | Performance (+/-) | Value |
Nasdaq 100 | -0.77% | 15,865.82 |
S&P 500 Index | -0.22% | 4,550.21 |
Dow Industrials | +0.79% | 35,708.08 |
Russell 2000 | +0.24% | 1,808.05 |
Chart Of The Day: OPEC+ Fails To Boost Oil Prices
Sector-wise, financials and healthcare rose the most, with the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:XLF) and the Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:XLV), up 0.6% and 0.7%, respectively.
Growth-linked sectors such as the Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:XLC), the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:XLK) and the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:XLY) were the underperformers, down 1.2%, 0.4% and 0.5%, respectively.
Industry-wise, gains were concentrated in biotech companies, with the SPDR S&P Biotech ETF (NYSE:XBI) up 2.5%
Semiconductors were the main laggard, with the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:SMH) down 1.7%.
Among the major investment firms that have released their outlooks for the U.S. stock market in 2024, JPMorgan Chase & Co. stands out with a bearish stance. The firm’s analysts forecast a price target of 4,200 points for the S&P 500 index, implying an 8% decline from current prices.
JPMorgan’s view is rooted in valuations deemed excessively high relative to fundamentals and a pessimistic outlook on the earnings trend of American companies.
Read Also: Chilling 2024 S&P 500 Outlook: Why JPMorgan Analysts Project Nightmare Scenario For Stocks
The United States Oil Fund, LP (NYSE:USO), which tracks the performance of light sweet crude, was 1.5% lower.
Gold, as monitored through the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:GLD), inched 0.3% lower to $2,037/oz. Silver edged 0.9% higher to $25.23.
European equity indices inched higher, aided by larger speculative bets on ECB rate cuts in 2024. However, the currency-unhedged SPDR DJ Euro STOXX 50 ETF (NYSE:FEZ) fell 0.4% as the dollar strengthened 0.6% against the euro.
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) was 0.3% lower to $37,737, while Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) rose 0.5% to $2,039.
Shanthi Rexaline contributed to this report.
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